ObjectiveTo explore the relationship between blood glucose variability index and persistent organ failure (POF) in acute pancreatitis (AP). MethodsWe prospectively included those patients who were diagnosed with AP with hyperglycemia and were hospitalized in the West China Center of Excellence for Pancreatitis of West China Hospital of Sichuan University from July 2019 to November 2021. The patients were given blood glucose monitoring at least 4 times a day for at least 3 consecutive days. The predictive value of blood glucose variability index for POF in patients with AP was analyzed. ResultsA total of 559 patients with AP were included, including 95 cases of POF. Comparing with those without POF, patients with AP complicated by POF had higher levels of admission glucose (11.0 mmol/L vs. 9.6 mmol/L), minimum blood glucose (6.8 mmol/L vs. 5.8 mmol/L), mean blood glucose (9.6 mmol/L vs. 8.7 mmol/L), and lower level of coefficient of variation of blood glucose (16.6 % vs. 19.0 %), P<0.05. Logistic regression analyses after adjustment for confounding factors showed that the risk of POF increased with the increase of admission glucose [OR=1.11, 95%CI (1.04, 1.19), P=0.002], minimum blood glucose [OR=1.28, 95%CI (1.10, 1.48), P=0.001] and mean blood glucose [OR=1.18, 95%CI (1.04, 1.33), P=0.010]; with the higher level of coefficient of variation of blood glucose [OR=0.95, 95%CI (0.92, 0.99), P=0.021], the risk of POF decreased. The results of area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operator curves showed that AG [AUC=0.787, 95%CI (0.735, 0.840)] had the highest accuracy in predicting POF, with sensitivities of 60.0% and specificities of 84.7%. ConclusionHigh admission glucose, minimum blood glucose, mean blood glucose, and low coefficient of variation of blood glucose were risk factors for the development of POF in patients with hyperglycemic AP on admission.
